“Two of Gallup’s long-term indicators of voter turnout show that Americans are much less interested in the midterm election today than they were on the eve of the election in 2010. Moreover, the 41% of U.S. adults saying they have given “quite a lot” or “some” thought to this year’s election is the lowest Gallup has recorded on the eve of any of the last six midterms. The 58% saying they are absolutely certain they will vote ties with 1998 for the lowest.
Additionally, after two midterm elections with above-average voter enthusiasm, the percentage of Americans saying they feel less enthusiastic than usual about voting this year (48%) now exceeds the percentage who say they are more enthusiastic (40%). This is similar to the pattern seen in each midterm from 1994 through 2002.
The clearest indication that turnout will be lower than four years ago is that more than a quarter of U.S. adults — 27% — say they do not plan to vote in this year’s election, up from 20% in 2010. This does not mean that all others will in fact vote, but it is a useful metric to gauge relative turnout across elections.”* The Young Turks host Cenk Uygur breaks it down.
*Read more here:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/179147/voters-especially-independents-lack-interest-election.aspx